
Annual Report & Accounts 2024 13
place in 2022 and the first quarter of 2023, so in the
prior financial year. Sweden, as previously reported, has
suffered greatly from too much leverage, particularly
short duration debt. Most of these companies have had
to suspend dividends and in some instances also raise
capital to shore up their balance sheets. Castellum is
one such culprit and had to carry out a SEK10 bn, deeply
discounted, raise. I have already mentioned the problems
that European healthcare is facing and it was the largest
player Aedifica – whose share price had fallen from
€100per share in August 2022 to €60 per share by June
2023 – that also carried out a deeply discounted capital
raise at an ex-rights price of €52 per share.
Investment Activity – property shares
Portfolio turnover (purchases and sales divided by two)
totalled £460m in the year, in line with the previous year
in absolute terms (£477m). With average net assets over
the year of £1.0bn, turnover was 45% of net assets, higher
than the previous year’s figure of 40%. This was a function
volatility in the year, the high level of M&A activity (where
whole positions were liquidated) and the significant
amount of capital raised by companies weown.
I commented at the half year that when comparing
our 10 largest overweight and underweight positions
(versus their respective positions in the benchmark)
15 out of 20 stocks were the same at the end of each
reporting period. In addition, two of the others were
Industrials REIT and Ediston which were taken private
for cash. Given that our sector traded in a tight (12%
peak to trough and back again) range between April and
October it is little surprise that I did not reposition the
portfolio aggressively. Stocks were not being rewarded
for their fundamental positioning for rental growth or
development opportunities. Instead, it was all about the
direction of macro economics and more particularly
interest rates. The one area, in the first half of the year,
where we did make significant changes was Sweden.
With stressed balance sheets this group of stocks had
suffered badly in both the first and second quarter 2023
correction. From the February peak to June low point,
the Swedish component of the benchmark had fallen
33%. We participated in the Castellum deeply discounted
capital raise as well as adding to Sagax (diversified but
with a focus on industrial), Pandox (hotels) and Catena
(logistics). In the last quarter of 2023, as the market got
behind the expectation of more interest rate cuts than
previously forecast, we doubled our holding to the most
interest sensitive name, Balder. We continue to avoid
others that have impaired financial structures, such as
SBB andCorem.
Alongside buying back into the more interest rate
sensitive names in Sweden, we also added to some of
our German residential names. Again, this sub group
has a very high correlation to bond yields. Whilst we
have a large position in Phoenix Spree Deutschland,
this tiny company (market cap £134m) is too small to
attract investors who are playing the change in the shape
of the bund curve. As a result, we need to own larger
names such as Vonovia to capture that sensitivity, hence
maintaining the name as our largest absolute position.
I also highlighted in the half year report our continued
increase in exposure to European shopping centres
where our longstanding positions in Klepierre and
Eurocommercial were augmented by buying Unibail.
This subsector offers high earnings yields and diversified
income streams operating in multiple European markets
and in dominant locations.
Whilst our industrial exposure dropped with the sale
of Industrials REIT, I continued to add to Argan, our
preferred French logistics names. It is an illiquid name
given that the founding family owns half the equity.
Back in March 2023 the stock entered the FTSE EPRA
Nareit Europe Index and we sold 50% of our position
into that liquidity event. In the first half of the year, we
slowly reacquired the stock at 10-15% lower prices.
This process continued in the second half and the
position has doubled over the year. Elsewhere we added
substantially to three other small industrial / logistics
names: Catena in Sweden (tripled exposure), Montea
(75% increase) and Tritax Eurobox (doubled exposure).
In the latter case, the investment thesis is different to
the others. Eurobox is an externally managed portfolio
of disparate logistics assets across Europe. The balance
sheet is stretched but there are buyers for the individual
assets. This should be a portfolio break up and is a very
different proposition to our other positions which are
much stronger entities with articulated growth paths.
We aim to support the growth of all our companies but
occasionally there are sound reasons to drive share price
returns through M&A activity.
Within the office sector, as highlighted earlier we remain
very nervous, particularly with the London developer
names. We sold down most of the GPE position in the
first half and in the fourth quarter rally, we completed the
sale of the remainder alongside our holdings in Derwent
London and Helical. Workspace remains the only pure
office play and other prime London office exposure is
through Landsec. The evolution of serviced and managed
office space, where tenants outsource all (or most) of
their occupational requirements, is certainly the market
direction. Workspace is essentially a service provider and
we are pleased with the announcement of a new CEO.
In Europe, we have focused on the best quality assets
through Gecina (Paris) and Arima (Madrid) alongside
smaller cities such as Wihlborgs (Malmo). Alongside
Workspace, the flexible office provider we maintained our
holding in is Sirius, which owns regional business space
in Germany and the UK.
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